The main impact of the ADAM project will be to improve the quality and relevance of scientific and stakeholder contributions to the development and evaluation of climate change policy options within the European Commission. This will help the Commission to deliver on its current medium-term climate policy objectives and help inform its development of a longer-term climate strategy. The total budget for ADAM 2006-08 is 12 900 k€ och which LUCSUS is 337 k€.
Final Core ADAM Objectives:
- To assess the extent to which existing and evolving EU (and world) mitigation and adaptation policies can achieve a tolerable transition to a world with a global climate no warmer than 2°C above preindustrial levels, and to identify their associated costs and effectiveness.
- To develop and appraise a portfolio of longer term policy options that could contribute to addressing shortfalls both between existing mitigation policies and the achievement of the EU’s 2°C target, and between existing adaptation policy development and EU goals and targets for adaptation.
- To develop a novel Policy-options Appraisal Framework and apply it both to existing and evolving climate policies, and to new, long-term policy options in the following four case studies: European and international climate protection strategy in post-2012 Kyoto negotiations; a restructuring of International Development Assistance; the EU electricity sector; and regional spatial planning.
The ADAM work programme is structured around four overarching domains: Scenarios, Policy Appraisal, Mitigation and Adaptation.
Developing framing scenarios for adaptation and mitigation
The Scenarios Domain will lay out four framing scenarios that will guide the ADAM analysis. They will span a range of climate futures from a 2°C global warming outcome where the primary challenge is mitigation, to a 5°C warming outcome where the primary challenge is adaptation.
Analytical and deliberative appraisal of climate change policy options
The Policy Appraisal Domain will provide the central component of ADAM, namely the development of an innovative Policy-options Appraisal Framework (PAF).The PAF will be the key mechanism for interacting with stakeholders and for providing policy-relevant outputs from the project.
Analysis of mitigation policy options globally and for the EU
The Mitigation Domain will evaluate the costs and effectiveness of different mitigation options at the EU level and estimate their corresponding contribution at the global level. These evaluations will address the main interactions between the EU and other world regions: international trade, development aid, technology transfer, and trade of used products and investment goods.
Analysis of impacts, vulnerability and adaptation options globally and for the EU
The Adaptation Domain will develop a quantitative knowledge base on Europe’s vulnerability to climate change. Social, technical and environmental factors that influence adaptive capacity will be analysed, and adjusted national accounts, incorporating the impacts of climate change, will be developed.
The ADAM Case Studies
ADAM will conduct four specific case studies where climate mitigation and adaptation strategies have a crucial bearing on the objectives of international conventions. The Policy Appraisal Framework will be used in each case study to evaluate policy options. The four case studies will focus on:
- The development of post-2012 policies for the UNFCCC. This will take a global perspective, but will appraise a range of possible architectures and policy options against multiple criteria as they apply to the EU.
- The question of Europe’s international development assistance and the ways in which more careful design and operation of such assistance can simultaneously meet the objectives of the Millennium Development Goals and the UNFCCC.
- The electricity sector. Using the European electricity sector as a prism through which mitigation and adaptation options are examined, specifi c options for new measures and policies and their impacts will be assessed.
- Three specifi c regions. The Policy Appraisal Framework will be applied in three localities (the Tisza Basin in eastern Europe, the Guadiana Basin in Spain, and Inner Mongolia) to develop and test regional policies which contribute to climate change mitigation and adaptation goals.
- Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
- Belgium: Centre for European Policy Studies
- China: Chinese Academy of Sciences (IAP.START)
- France: EnerData, Université Pierre Mendès France
- Germany: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, The Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, The German Institute for Economic Research
- Hungary: Hungarian Academy of Sciences
- India: Tata Energy Research Institute (The Energy and Resources Institute)
- Italy: University of Florence, European Joint Research Centre (Ispra)
- Netherlands: Wageningen University (ALTERRA Research Centre), National Institute for Public Health and Environment (Environmental Assessment Agency), University of Maastricht (International Centre for Integrative Studies), Wageningen University (Environmental Analysis Systems Group), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (Institute for Environmental Studies)
- Norway: Centre for International Climate and Environmental Research
- Poland: Polish Academy of Science
- Spain: University of Barcelona
- Sweden: Lund University, Stockholm Environment Agency
- Switzerland: Paul Scherrer Institute, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich
- UK: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia (School of Environmental Science), University of Cambridge (Department of Land Economy), Stockholm Environment Agency (Oxford)
The ADAM Project Office
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
School of Environmental Science
University of East Anglia
Norwich NR4 7TJ UK
Tel: +44 (0) 1603 593 900
Fax: +44 (0) 1603 593 901
More info at www.adamproject.eu/
Contact at Lund university
ADAM information leaflet »
ADAM Project Final Event
March 8-9, 2009